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Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Earth Interactions Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology Journal of Climate Journal of Hydrometeorology Journal of Physical Oceanography Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences Monthly Weather Review Weather and Forecasting Weather, Climate, and Society Meteorological Monographs

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JOURNALS

Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Earth Interactions Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology Journal of Climate Journal of Hydrometeorology Journal of Physical Oceanography Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences Monthly Weather Review Weather and Forecasting Weather, Climate, and Society Meteorological Monographs

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Weather and Forecasting

Volume 26: Issue 5

Early Online Release

Volume: 41 (2026)

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Sections

Abstract

1. Introduction

2. Extreme dependency score

3. Shortcomings of the EDS
a. Base-rate dependence

b. Hedging

c. Regularity

d. Range

e. Equitability

f. Complement symmetry

g. Transpose symmetry

h. Linearity

4. Symmetric EDS

5. Extremal dependence indices

6. Conclusions

Properties of SEDS
a. Base-rate dependence

b. Hedging

c. Regularity

d. Range

e. Equitability

f. Complement symmetry

g. Transpose symmetry

h. Linearity

Properties of EDI and SEDI
a. Base-rate dependence

b. Hedging

c. Regularity

d. Range

e. Equitability

f. Complement symmetry

g. Transpose symmetry

h. Linearity

References

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Ghelli, A., and PrimoC. , 2009: On the use of the extreme dependency score to investigate the performance of an NWP model for rare events. Meteor. Appl., 16, 537–544.

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Göber, M., WilsonC. A. , MiltonS. F. , and StephensonD. B. , 2004: Fair play in the verification of operational quantitative precipitation forecasts. J. Hydrol., 288, 225–236.

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Hamill, T. M., and JurasJ. , 2006: Measuring forecast skill: Is it real skill or is it the varying climatology?Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 132, 2905–2923.

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